Wednesday, April 11, 2012

Colorado and Wyoming Conventions

It had been my intention to post about the Colorado and Wyoming conventions that start tomorrow with the same air of dramatic interest that we'd had over the last few months. However, since Mr. Santorum has now withdrawn, the selection process will likely be heavily one-sided.

But it may not be a complete slam dunk for Mr. Romney. Mr. Santorum, despite being gracious and polite, did not officially endorse Mr. Romney. This means that he'll retain the 212 hard delegates that he has, as he has not officially released them. Although he is now essentially a non-entity, Newt is still out there and will be making a pitch for the delegates available at the various conventions and in the remaining primaries. I personally doubt he will be very successful though.

Still, tomorrow does kick off the district convention in the 7th district of Colorado (outer suburbs of Denver). At this convention, they will select three delegates while the remaining six districts in Colorado will do the same thing with the same results on Friday for a total of 21 official delegates decided.

On Saturday, the Colorado state convention will meet and they will allocate an additional 12 delegates to the convention. There will be three party leaders sent as well who will be bound by the results of the state convention. That will give 15 total delegates from the state convention and 36 delegates in total.

Also on Saturday will be the Wyoming state convention. There the remaining 14 available delegates will be allocated to the various candidates. Twelve delegates have already been assigned (8 to Mr. Romney, 2 to Mr. Santorum, 1 to Uncle Ron, and 1 uncommitted). There are also three party leaders who are officially unassigned, although 1 has stated that they will be voting for Mr. Romney.

So by this weekend we'll have 50 delegates assigned and 36 delegates taken out of the estimated column. By all logic, Mr. Romney should recieve all 50 delegates. If he does not, then it will be a sign that Mr. Romney still has some work to do to rally the conservatives. An additional tell will be if there are any similar signs of protest voting at the Missouri district convention (24 delegates to be assigned) next Saturday.

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