Democratic Calendar of Events

Mr. Obama won Mississippi as expected last night. He will gain at least 17 delegates to Ms. Clinton’s 11. There are 5 more delegates who will be allotted once all the votes are fully counted and documented in each congressional district. In absolute hard pledges, Mr. Obama leads 1274-1166 with 5 outstanding. Factoring in the estimated allotments in caucuses, Mr. Obama increases his lead to 1388.5-1240.5 with 32 outstanding and 26 still pledged to Mr. Edwards. Ms. Clinton still holds a lead of about 30 Superdelegates, leaving her roughly 110 total delegates behind.

Now we are in for the long slog where we wait for Pennsylvania. The media will probably spend most of this time going over the deliberations over what to do with the Florida and Michigan votes. At the moment, it seems that Florida’s plan to revote by mail is moving forward, despite dissent from the House Florida delegation and the large holes for lawsuits that could be opened up. There is no word yet if Michigan is going to follow the same parameters.

To give and idea of the upcoming calendar, here are the remaining important dates:

April 12 – Democrats Abroad will formally select their delegates. Mr. Obama is expected to receive 4.5 and Ms. Clinton 2.5 (There are 14 delegates with a half vote each).

April 22 – Pennsylvania Primary – 158 delegates

April 26 – Iowa District Conventions – Mr. Obama is expected to receive 10 delegates, Ms. Clinton 10, and Mr. Edwards 9. It is unknown if Mr. Edwards will keep his delegates or release them to the other candidates.

May 3 – Guam Caucus – 6 delegates (0.5 votes each for 3 votes)

May 6 – North Carolina and Indiana Primaries – 115 and 72 delegates

May 13 – West Virginia Primary – 28 delegates

May 17 – Colorado State Convention – Mr. Obama is expected to receive 19 delegates and Ms. Clinton 9. There are an additional 27 delegates that will be assigned to candidates at the convention.

May 18 – Nevada State Convention – Mr. Obama is expected to receive 13 delegates and Ms. Clinton 12.

May 20 – Kentucky and Oregon Primaries – 51 and 52 delegates

May 24 – Alaska State Convention – Mr. Obama is expected to receive 9 delegates and Ms. Clinton 4.

June 1 – Puerto Rico Primary – Puerto Rico has petitioned to move up one week to June 1 and switch from a caucus to a primary as part of the Florida and Michigan negotiations. Puerto Rico has 55 delegates.

June 3 – Montana and South Dakota Primaries – 16 and 15 delegates

June 7 – Texas State Convention – Mr. Obama is expected to receive 38 delegates and Ms. Clinton 29.

June 14 – Idaho and Iowa State Conventions – Mr. Obama is expected to receive 15 delegates and Ms. Clinton 3 from Idaho. Mr. Obama is expected to receive 6 delegates, Ms. Clinton 5, and Mr. Edwards 5 from Iowa. It is unknown if Mr. Edwards will keep his delegates or release them to the other candidates.

Any makeup primaries in Florida and Michigan will likely take place after June 3 but prior to July 1.