Tuesday, May 08, 2012

Interesting Election Day

Today should be an interesting election day. Not so much for the Presidential primary, as Mr. Romney should take nearly all of the 132 delegates at stake in Indiana, North Carolina, and West Virginia. If he does, that will put him well over hard 900 delegates and close to 1000 if you include projections and unbound party delegates.

No, the real interest will be in the Indiana Senate primary and the Wisconsin governor primary. In Indiana, six-term incumbent Dick Lugar is being challenged by a state treasurer, Richard Mourdock. Mr. Mourdock is favored by the Tea Party while Mr. Lugar is being back by the Washington establishment. Indiana is an open primary so while Mr. Mourdock is polling ahead, Mr. Lugar has asked Independents and Democrats to come vote for him. The last polls in Indiana close at 6 pm CDT (7 pm EDT), so a call in this race should be made at a reasonable hour.

The other interesting race is the Wisconsin governor's primary. Governor Scott Walker is being targeted for a recall election that will be held on June 5. However, first there is a primary to determine who the main opponents will be. Mr. Walker is nearly unopposed as his only challenger on the Republican primary ballot is the little known Arthur Kohl-Riggs (who seems to be just trying to stir the pot a little). On the Democrat side, there are five people vying to become the challenger to Mr. Walker, but the two who are most likely to win are Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett and former Dane County Executive Kathleen Falk. Mr. Barrett is the more moderate Democrat and is ahead in the polls. Ms. Falk is the more liberal Democrat and will probably do very well in Madison but will need to take a large percentage of other areas to balance out Mr. Barrett's advantage in Milwaukee. Polls close at 8 pm CDT (9 EDT) but I would expect the counting to go on on the Democratic side for a little while.

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