Almost There

Mr. Romney finally lost a county since Mr. Santorum's withdrawal back in April. He lost Trigg county in Kentucky to Uncle Ron. I doubt this bothered him much as he won all 42 of Kentucky's available delegates and all 33 of Arkansas' available delegates.

Mr. Romney's hard total is up to 975. Texas has 155 delegates available when they go to the polls next Tuesday. That 155 won't be enough to put Mr. Romney over the top in the strict hard count, but if you factor in the soft pledges from the party leader allotment (he has 59 officially) that does put him over the top. The remaining 339 delegates available in June would just be gravy.

On the Democrat side, Mr. Obama easily won both of his primaries, but the results (like West Virginia) should concern him a bit. In Kentucky, Mr. Obama only got 58% of the Democrat vote (in a closed primary). The remaining 42% went to "Uncommitted". In Arkansas, Mr. Obama is winning 59-41 over John Wolfe. Mr. Obama is almost certainly not going to win the states of West Virginia, Kentucky, and Arkansas so these results won't bother him particularly. But they are potential evidence of discontentment with Mr. Obama among blue collar workers. It is because of this that it is looking increasingly likely that Mr. Obama will not win North Carolina and could lose Virginia and Ohio.

Of course, an awful lot can happen in the next 5.5 months.