Tuesday, March 06, 2012

Super Tuesday

10:40 PM - I'm off to bed. Santorum's lead is down to 7,000 votes with 79% reporting. God only knows how long it'll be before Idaho and Alaska are reported. Alaska polls close at midnight.

10:30 PM - Hamilton county is reporting what should be a nearly 6,000 vote gain for Romney once everything is added. Cuyahoga may do the same. If that holds, it'll come down to little bits still reporting in other counties. It may be well after midnight before Ohio is called.

10:20 PM - Romney dominating Idaho in the early counting. 30% Mormon turnout indeed. Santorum's lead is about 15,000 in Ohio with 70% of the vote in. It's starting to get tight for Romney to make that up.

10:06 PM - North Dakota called for Santorum.

9:50 PM - With about 50% of the caucuses counted, Santorum is up by about 700 votes over Uncle Ron in North Dakota. He's up by 15,000 in Ohio with 46% of the vote but Hamilton, Cuyahoga, and Franklin counties have not reported much yet.

9:30 PM - I'm very surprised to see that with 80% of the vote counted, Romney is beating Santorum in Warren County by nearly 2,000 votes. Meanwhile the Odas are both winning their races here. I'm mildly disappointed by that.

8:45 PM - I just got back from the store. Vermont and Massachusetts have been called for Mr. Romney. Oklahoma and Tennessee have been called for Mr. Santorum.

7:30 PM - How many times can Wolf Blitzer say Ohio in one minute? Too close to call, no surprise.

7:15 PM - Georgia called for Newt. Mr. Romney takes Virginia, although it took a few minutes. Uncle Ron is running stronger than expected there. Vermont is strangely close as both Uncle Ron and Mr. Santorum are fighting it out. Vermont might just be weird enough to put Uncle Ron over the top here.

4:15 PM - Voted. I was #111. Not bad turnout for my precinct.

11:30 AM - In addition to the Presidential Primary, there are a few Congressional Primaries to watch. Probably the most interesting here in Ohio is for OH-9, pitting incumbent Marcy Kaptur (Toledo) against Dennis Kucinich (Cleveland). Although nominal allies, this race has been down and dirty.

One particular ad hit Mr. Kucinich hard. When he first thought he would lose his district, Mr. Kucinich took a few trips to Washington State and even looked into moving there and running for one of Washington's new districts (they gained one district). Ms. Kaptur took this bit and paired Mr. Kucinich up with Art Modell and LeBron James as Ohioans who cut and run to make their fortunes elsewhere. Nasty, but effective.

Geography would seem to favor Ms. Kaptur laying everything else aside. The district contains most of Toledo, the entire lakefront, and only the western sections of Cleveland. Most of Mr. Kucinich's old district was folded into Marcia Fudge's 11th district, leaving him without much of his old support. I'll be curious to see how this one turns out.

6:50 AM - Today's the day that Mr. Romney either relegates his rivals to the second tier or has them come back up and bite his heels. Polls closings are as follows:

Georgia - 7:00 EST
Vermont - 7:00 EST
Virginia - 7:00 EST
Ohio - 7:30 EST
Oklahoma - 7:00 CST (8:00 EST)
Massachusetts - 8:00 EST
Tennessee - 8:00 EST
North Dakota - 9:00 CST (10:00 EST)
Alaska - caucuses begin at 7:30 AKST (11:30 EST)
Idaho - no closing time given for caucuses

No comments: