Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Tea Party Fallout

Ms. O'Donnell won last night 53-47. The first polls coming out after the contest show her down about 15 points. Interestingly, when she first announced back in July, she polled 3 points above Mr. Coons but then the internecine warfare began.

Can she recover? Perhaps but it will take a significant GotV effort. Democrats outnumber Republicans in Delaware by about 2-1. A significant number of them will have to stay home and Ms. O'Donnell will have to score big among the Independents as well. A tall order for only a month and a half of campaigning.

The one other story that is not getting any play for some reason is the jeopardy that Senator Russ Feingold (D) is finding himself in. Ron Johnson easily won the Republican nomination last night and will be challenging him for the Wisconsin Senate seat. I've been following the poll tracking on this race and the two men have been neck and neck since Johnson announced back in May. Mr. Feingold seems to be unable to break 46 percent in polling while Mr. Johnson dances around him between 44 and 47 points. If turnout is as weighted toward the Republicans as the grand poobahs seem to think they will be, Mr. Feingold may be in trouble of losing his seat. That would be significant.

No comments: